And for dessert, we’re tackling the 11th race at Del Mar, an allowance/optional claiming race for 3-year-olds and up at a mile on the main track. The #RJhorseracing handicapping crew is naturally tackling the Derby, heavy favorite or no. There’s much more to unpack on the race, but let’s hear from the crowd ’cappers and see how they plan to wring some profit from the race. If Authentic and Ny Traffic head for the front, that should present Franco and Tiz the Law with a golden opportunity to track the leaders as they move toward the rail and secure the colt’s favored stalking position just behind and outside the front-runners without getting caught too wide on the first turn. Storm the Court, starting from Post 4, and Thousand Words, another Baffert runner starting from the 10 hole, also could get involved early.īut since none of those horses is uncontrollable speedballs, I expect they’ll carve out a fairly moderate pace early, putting the closers at a disadvantage in the late stages of the race. The early stages of the race figure to be interesting, with the likely speed, the Bob Baffert-trained Authentic and Ny Traffic, starting from outside posts. The #RJhorseracing handicapping crew and yours truly, the Blind Squirrel, have some thoughts on that, but first let’s look at the likely pace scenario for Saturday’s race, which will be broadcast by NBC from 11:30 a.m. ![]() And it’s worth noting that Tiz the Law’s only loss came at Churchill Downs, when he checked in third in the slop in the Grade 2 Kentucky Jockey Club Cup in November. He’s also being handled by veteran trainer Barclay Tagg, who already has won a Derby for Tiz the Law’s owners, collectively known as Sackatoga Stables, turning the trick in 2003 with another New York-bred, Funny Cide.īut this is the Grade 1 Kentucky Derby, where big fields often translate to troubled trips. And the apparent ease with which he’s been winning suggests he has more gas in the tank if he needs it. The colt has swept all four of his starts at 3 under jockey Manny Franco and is the only horse in the field who has won at the testing 1¼-mile Derby distance. I’m a huge admirer of the son of Constitution, who has all the attributes you look for in a major league racehorse: natural speed, quick acceleration and proven stamina. Tiz the Law, the 3-5 morning line favorite in the delayed Derby, might indeed be the next coming of Secretariat, as some have anointed him.īut don’t forget that he’s also just one stumble or rough trip from ignominious defeat on the biggest stage he will set hoof on.ĭon’t get me wrong. ![]() Well, that goes double for the Kentucky Derby. You’ve no doubt heard the old saw that there is no such thing as a sure thing in horse racing. The Kentucky Derby is scheduled for Saturday, Sept. Kentucky Derby entry Tiz the Law get a bath following a workout at Churchill Downs, Thursday, Sept.
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